Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $430.51
- Potential payout
- $4.53K
- Potential profit
- $4.1K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$134.35
Polymarket Trader
REALDONALDPUMP420
0xa30e34cb813d1a94c8dee87f512076cdcc3a4b76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $140.46
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $345
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $229.28
- Potential payout
- $539.49
- Potential profit
- $310.21
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$22.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $110.47
- Potential profit
- $110.02
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.56
No position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.29
- Potential profit
- $99.29
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $82.92
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.58
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.43
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $33.59
- Potential payout
- $50.9
- Potential profit
- $17.31
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $16.91
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.55
- Potential profit
- $28.55
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $18.25
- Potential profit
- $14.48
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.19
- Potential profit
- $18.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $17.81
- Potential profit
- $17.12
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.33
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.54
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 64.8% 50.9 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 500 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 500 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 43% 232.56 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 2,000 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 45% 41.16 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 20.96 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes 61% 3.49 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 81% 126.43 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 50% 205.34 shares