No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $203.82K
- Potential payout
- $204.33K
- Potential profit
- $510.83
- User PnL
- $17.6K
Polymarket Trader
SAPolitcsSeer
0xa30e451354cb41cfd46689a065defed989ea49d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $511.39K
- Realized PnL
- $26.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $105.39K
- Potential payout
- $106.29K
- Potential profit
- $903.46
- User PnL
- $4.72K
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $77.82K
- Potential payout
- $77.94K
- Potential profit
- $116.91
- User PnL
- $6.36K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $40.74K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $9.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$315.13
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $23.41K
- Potential payout
- $26.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $21.91K
- Potential payout
- $21.97K
- Potential profit
- $54.91
- User PnL
- $369.23
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $19.34K
- Potential payout
- $19.75K
- Potential profit
- $404.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $339.69
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $8.14K
- Potential payout
- $8.17K
- Potential profit
- $28.61
- User PnL
- $189.28
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $101.3
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $4.72K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$58.48
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.41K
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $24.4
- User PnL
- $184.55
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $4.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $256.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $229.99
Yes position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $97.51
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$24.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.61
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.16
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $825.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.33
Yes position
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.22
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $568.31
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.69
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $373.75
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.65
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.18
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.49
No position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.09
No position
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.61
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.9
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.46
No position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.33
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 11,248 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96% 8,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 50,000 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 87.9% 8,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 10,698.68 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 9,194.78 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 84% 2,286.75 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 97.5% 15,000 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 98.4% 1,217.53 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 83.3% 2,377.86 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 19,782.72 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 97.5% 1,290 shares