No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $5.17K
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $280.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $474.5
Polymarket Trader
0xA3130d44C968374E9fCB0f0B20f4DbF0DAD9EB44-1772872322836
0xa3130d44c968374e9fcb0f0b20f4dbf0dad9eb44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.68K
- Realized PnL
- $22.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.4%
- Current value
- $3.94K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $567.39
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $302.17
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $94.17
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.4%
- Current value
- $542.98
- Potential payout
- $898.97
- Potential profit
- $355.99
- Multiplier
- 1.66x
- User PnL
- -$95.35
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $101.15
- Potential payout
- $806
- Potential profit
- $704.85
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $637.28
- Potential payout
- $772.46
- Potential profit
- $135.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $38.79
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $315.74
- Potential payout
- $651
- Potential profit
- $335.27
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $52.02
- Potential payout
- $612
- Potential profit
- $559.98
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$52.02
N
No position
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $389.83
- Potential payout
- $503
- Potential profit
- $113.18
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $357.11
- Potential payout
- $460.79
- Potential profit
- $103.68
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $38.11
N
No position
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $302.4
- Potential payout
- $438.33
- Potential profit
- $135.93
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
No position
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $94.63
- Potential payout
- $411.45
- Potential profit
- $316.82
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $4.86
Yes position
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $150.29
- Potential payout
- $390.37
- Potential profit
- $240.08
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$58.34
No position
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $199.54
- Potential payout
- $341.1
- Potential profit
- $141.56
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$11.94
Yes position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $129.59
- Potential payout
- $304.92
- Potential profit
- $175.33
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$13
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $105.1
- Potential payout
- $272.99
- Potential profit
- $167.89
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
N
No position
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $160.33
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $104.68
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Y
Yes position
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $133.63
- Potential payout
- $245.2
- Potential profit
- $111.57
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $102.85
- Potential payout
- $242
- Potential profit
- $139.15
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $152.46
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $78.54
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.93
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $68.36
- Potential payout
- $217
- Potential profit
- $148.64
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$35.8
Under position
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $98.58
- Potential payout
- $212
- Potential profit
- $113.42
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $75.05
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $114.95
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.58
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.51
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $679.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.14
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.63
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.92
Over 5.5 position
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.55
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.32
No position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $441.18
No position
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.39
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.45
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.12
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.5
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 5,606.84 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 1,181 shares
- Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91% 768.21 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 61% 540 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 10.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 15.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 45.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 56% 55 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 91% 418.6 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 92% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 862 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 1,111 shares