Polymarket Trader

degensensei

0xa315514d7256eecc8266dab3923e2b4cdc763365

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $871.64
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $383.81
Potential payout: $384
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $84.6

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $359.46
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $24.26

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $44.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $105.75
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $42
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $42.13
Potential payout: $48.7
Potential profit: $6.57
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.32

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.89

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.66

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.36

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.6

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.76

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.2

No position

Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.31

No position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.85

No position

Will Tucker Carlson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.54

Yes position

Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.19

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

No position

Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Yes 76% 250 shares
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 81% 48.7 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 57% 300 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.5% 267.9 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 77% 100 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 21.15 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 86% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?

No 15% 95.23 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,500 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 89% 55 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 600 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 89% 350 shares