Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$195.5
Polymarket Trader
YesNoMeybe
0xa323eeafb06792b39bd35d106bf0ebe55edbe0ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.66
- Realized PnL
- $5.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.7
- Potential profit
- $812.7
- User PnL
- -$213.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460.37
- Potential profit
- $460.37
- User PnL
- -$105.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $56.66
- Potential payout
- $378.97
- Potential profit
- $322.31
- Multiplier
- 6.69x
- User PnL
- -$49.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.42
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.52
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $243.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $241.53
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $222.57
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $169.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.89
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.6
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.28
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.42
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.7
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 28% 124.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 23% 460.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 18% 320.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 5.8% 691.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 13% 366.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 11.3% 97.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes 11% 247.67 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 19% 240 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 10,000 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 56% 44.6 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 52% 611.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes 10.1% 117.85 shares