Polymarket Trader

ksvjhw

0xa3245bc43cfcd1153ee1a22787ef12fdb714289d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.23
Realized PnL: $30.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $10.43
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Current value: $8.28
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.1%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.18

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.35
Potential payout: $7.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $7.27
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.23
Potential profit: $7.23
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $6.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $5.34
User PnL: -$5

No position

Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.6
Potential profit: $4.6
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $4.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $3.08
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase October 28-November 3?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 89% 7.87 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 77% 9.09 shares
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 95.9% 10.43 shares
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 92% 10.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 96.9% 9.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 95.9% 8.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 97.7% 6.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 94.8% 10.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

No 90% 7.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

No 85% 7.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 96.9% 6.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

No 92.4% 6.49 shares