Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $435.55
- Potential payout
- $777.77
- Potential profit
- $342.22
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$45.41
Polymarket Trader
Optius
0xa32d15f7b8b898d1bee9bb9f326e87968c15a5f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $617.75
- Realized PnL
- $1.62K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $47.48
- Potential payout
- $185.46
- Potential profit
- $137.98
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $102.14
- Potential payout
- $111.63
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $40.54
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $8.92
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $31.62
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$6.08
Yes position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $23.67
- Potential payout
- $28.94
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.32
- Potential profit
- $22.32
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.6
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.24
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $962.21
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.47
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.64
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.38
Yes position
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
Yes position
Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.58
Wolves position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
No position
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.81
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.41
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $14.08
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Cavs position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Spurs position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Ellis position
Set 1 Winner: Ellis vs Te
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 37% 40.54 shares
- Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes 86.4% 28.94 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 87.1% 114.81 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 64% 234.38 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 62% 322.58 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 99.9% 486.95 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 91% 31.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.3% 108.69 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81% 140.84 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 51% 29.41 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 3.5% 119.04 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes 85% 8.24 shares