Polymarket Trader

ultimoo

0xa3325df9a083d27bb9b0712e4527229177dd06e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $170.99
Realized PnL: $30.42
Win rate: 68.4%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $94.44
Potential payout: $627.5
Potential profit: $533.06
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$27.51

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $58.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $8.33
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $18.33

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $18.21
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $24.64
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $3.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.65

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.57

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.62

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.91

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Trump say "N-Word" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.98

Human position

Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.66

Yes position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 24.69 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 68.9% 64.71 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 69.4% 64.71 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

No 74% 44.62 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 98.7% 30.3 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 74.9% 2.67 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Down 49% 22.45 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18% 94.17 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18% 83.33 shares
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Yes 36% 13.89 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Up 70% 14.29 shares