Polymarket Trader

Altergora

0xa33d25630fb8b779ea9744bc6dfab536272f3ef2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $479.26
Realized PnL: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.29
Potential payout: $153.28
Potential profit: $127.99
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$75.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.37
Potential profit: $91.37
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.86
Potential profit: $77.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.66
Potential payout: $73.53
Potential profit: $62.87
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$14.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.2
Potential profit: $68.2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.76
Potential profit: $63.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $38.55
Potential payout: $60.71
Potential profit: $22.16
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $40.07
Potential payout: $59.37
Potential profit: $19.29
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.97
Potential profit: $55.97
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $29.17
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $26.39
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$10.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 80.2%
Current value: $43.83
Potential payout: $54.69
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $8.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $38.93
Potential payout: $53.74
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $38.79
Potential payout: $52.42
Potential profit: $13.63
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $38.4
Potential payout: $52.24
Potential profit: $13.84
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.4
Potential profit: $51.4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $39.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.75
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $38.86
Potential payout: $49.51
Potential profit: $10.64
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $8.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $28.76
Potential payout: $43.24
Potential profit: $14.49
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.08
Potential payout: $41.1
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $11.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $39.14
Potential profit: $11.55
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.44
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.03
Potential profit: $36.03
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.33

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.91

Yes position

Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.76

Yes position

Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.55

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.34

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.94

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.51

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.39

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.9

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.42

Yes position

Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 25?

No 76.3% 52.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 25?

No 73.1% 34.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?

No 60% 33.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 25?

No 69.4% 43.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on June 25?

No 67.4% 59.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 26?

No 65.9% 60.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 25?

No 65% 23.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?

No 72% 55.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?

No 71% 35.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?

No 60.6% 49.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?

No 74.4% 53.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?

No 67% 29.85 shares