Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $12.39
- Potential profit
- $8.18
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Polymarket Trader
680oUo
0xa340a8f33026d8219fa74fde57a01fff9656cac0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.21
- Realized PnL
- -$0.97
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 31.4% 12.39 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 23% 12.87 shares
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes 0.3% 22.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 23.8% 4.2 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 23.9% 4.18 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 72% 1.39 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 77.7% 1.29 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 22.3% 4.48 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 77.2% 1.3 shares
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes 4.4% 22.9 shares