Polymarket Trader

Wizardx

0xa356cbd599d109e8ec7da6ccb595a3bb963b5538

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.32
Realized PnL: $278.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $28.86
Potential payout: $84.52
Potential profit: $55.65
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.49
Potential profit: $66.49
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.79
Potential profit: $64.79
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.9
Potential profit: $61.9
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Satan" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $31.97
Potential profit: $31.29
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$7.32

Yes position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.74
Potential profit: $31.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.6
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.16
Potential profit: $26.16
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.1%
Current value: $13.59
Potential payout: $26.12
Potential profit: $12.52
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $6.78
Potential payout: $21.86
Potential profit: $15.09
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $14.71
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.96
Potential profit: $17.96
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $15.95
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $14.35
Potential profit: $7.32
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $4.03

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $3.64
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.88
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.53

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.52

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $120 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?

Yes 20.9% 14.35 shares
Will Trump say "Beer" this week?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Trump say "Fertilizer" this week?

Yes 40% 5 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 34.1% 2.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Up 53% 5.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 47% 6.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Up 52% 5.77 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 34.86 shares
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

30.4% 32.2 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.4% 59.88 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 357.14 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 7.4% 54.05 shares