Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $6.15K
- Potential payout
- $6.27K
- Potential profit
- $122.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Polymarket Trader
0xa35efC74daaDA70277B0AbFB6f1707a86A3d0e64-1776061928290
0xa35efc74daada70277b0abfb6f1707a86a3d0e64
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.68K
- Realized PnL
- -$469.61
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$803.28
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $715.63
- Potential profit
- $715.63
- User PnL
- -$641.04
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $615.62
- Potential profit
- $615.62
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $542.39
- Potential profit
- $542.39
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $380
- Potential payout
- $444.44
- Potential profit
- $64.44
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $150.08
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- User PnL
- $50.08
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.31
- Potential profit
- $141.31
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.36
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.16
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.05
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$169.45
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp 7% 71.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETDown 80% 8.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETDown 56% 8.93 shares
- Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?Yes 99.9% 271.31 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 87% 114.94 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86.3% 115.92 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86% 116.28 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes 86% 116.28 shares