Polymarket Trader

DonRicardoLagosE

0xa36450e0a87bacd4f3e38a287ce2f3ec9a7b792e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.19K
Realized PnL: $4.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $160.84

Yes position

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $80.57
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $926.56
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$58.43

Yes position

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$96.41

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$38.5

Yes position

Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $105.51
Potential payout: $909.61
Potential profit: $804.09
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: -$141.97

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $91.13
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $658.88
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$51.38

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $226
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $78.93
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $271.08
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: -$26.57

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $271.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $115
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $126.57
Potential profit: $125.43
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$26.71

No position

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $37.88
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $37.13
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$13.87

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $43.13
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $31.88
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.63

No position

Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $41.46
Potential payout: $46.9
Potential profit: $5.44
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $18.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $933.47

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $520

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.73

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.86

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.41

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.58

Yes position

Will Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.33

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.5

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.34

Yes position

Will Johannes Kaiser win between 13% and 16% of votes in the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.07

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.7

No position

Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.38

No position

Will Evelyn Matthei come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.81

No position

Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $55.27

Yes position

Will Unidad por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.84

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.32

No position

Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 85% 100 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 1.1% 858.8 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 11.5% 47.13 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Yes 52% 75 shares
NATO article 5 before 2027?

Yes 9% 133.67 shares
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?

No 92.2% 15.63 shares
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

Yes 1.1% 1,005.86 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 17.9% 279.28 shares
NATO article 5 before 2027?

Yes 17% 199.99 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 57% 400 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 36% 200 shares
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

Yes 4% 41 shares