No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $4.46K
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $343.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$29.06
Polymarket Trader
0xfx
0xa37bcc103d44012be3f4102cb760df22791b7e76
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.9K
- Realized PnL
- $6.37K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $3.6K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $71.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $58.66
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $179.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $63.86
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $123.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $123.5
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $115.32
- Potential payout
- $127.42
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $952.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $815.75
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.95
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.59
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $341.19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.73
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.88
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.5% 500 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.5% 500 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.5% 500 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.5% 500 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93.2% 500 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93.2% 100 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 53.1% 188.47 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes 85% 1,890.72 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes 31.9% 358.02 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes 25.9% 773.19 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No 96.9% 2,133.34 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes 70% 1,549.36 shares