No position
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $227.19
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.43
Polymarket Trader
vesper-123
0xa39ac2f06d203f3d2a612c6de606a640d3ca980d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $406.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $222.24
- Potential payout
- $229
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215
- Potential profit
- $215
- User PnL
- -$197.95
No position
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $197.69
- Potential payout
- $207
- Potential profit
- $9.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $189.26
- Potential payout
- $199.12
- Potential profit
- $9.86
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $186.73
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $79.86
- Potential payout
- $132
- Potential profit
- $52.14
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$42.9
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $117.26
- Potential payout
- $121.89
- Potential profit
- $4.63
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.99
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $111.36
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $102.18
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $85.26
- Potential payout
- $103.34
- Potential profit
- $18.08
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$13.58
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $91.41
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$4.54
No position
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $95.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.4%
- Current value
- $62.08
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $32.92
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$28.9
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $83.61
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $50.6
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $33.58
- Potential payout
- $48.68
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$12.95
No position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $18.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.01
No position
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $21.55
No position
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.32
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 12 be between 80 and 85?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
No position
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.67
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will the US lose jobs in May?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $8.00 on June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 67 shares
- Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 92% 188 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 91% 11.12 shares
- Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?No 95% 101 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 98.7% 96 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 99.8% 42 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 75 shares
- Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 0.11 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?No 95% 55 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?No 95.1% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?No 95% 222 shares