Polymarket Trader

dalong12

0xa3a666dbb6427251dfad104bf6139b55246fac15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.4
Realized PnL: $186.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$55.6

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $25.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24.75
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $31.17
Potential payout: $45.5
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $34.99
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $7.01
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Kings position

Jazz vs. Kings

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Maple Leafs

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

No 80% 5 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 38% 55 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?

Yes 99.2% 29.99 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

No 99.9% 22 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 97.1% 35 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

No 69% 45 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

No 99.8% 22 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 39% 60 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

No 19% 35.46 shares
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 35% 21.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Down 99% 29.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Down 68% 28.62 shares