Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Flumvirre
0xa3a6de569f1a25a28b012c9d443102d65a2c78f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $704.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.86
- Potential profit
- $298.86
- User PnL
- -$170.3
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.3
- Potential profit
- $269.3
- User PnL
- -$130
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.19
- Potential profit
- $235.19
- User PnL
- -$110
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.99
- Potential profit
- $211.99
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.91
- Potential profit
- $190.91
- User PnL
- -$20
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$100
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.01
- Potential profit
- $164.01
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.44
- Potential profit
- $149.44
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.8
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.93
- Potential profit
- $91.93
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $87.72
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Bitcoin above $112000 on August 13?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2025 Tour Championship?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fuck" again in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.29
- Potential profit
- $33.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Justin Thomas win the 2025 Tour Championship?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.26
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.05
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.33
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.26
Yes position
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Team Liquid position
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 Tour Championship?
Ends Aug 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid 57% 298.86 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid 19% 52.63 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid 40% 50 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid 60% 166.67 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes 82% 16.94 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?Yes 99.9% 20.24 shares
- Trump declares election interference national emergency?Yes 24.4% 71.42 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Liquid 36% 27.78 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid 59% 169.49 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid 20% 50 shares
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid 54% 185.19 shares
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming 22% 45.45 shares