No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.13K
- Potential profit
- $91.13K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Polymarket Trader
truthlord
0xa3a6fa49a39a4bf84cf510b7c8a2ab8be8508c44
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $58.42K
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.33K
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93K
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.16
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.63
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.75
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.97
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.3
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$548.77
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$599.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$613.4
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.6% 879.69 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 59% 879.69 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 14.5% 3,961.85 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11AM ETDown 16.2% 129.05 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 7% 39,999.99 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 23.1% 7,949.8 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 9.7% 4,444.08 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes 4.9% 19,999.99 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 23% 4,365.32 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes 8% 27.06 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 9% 20,000 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 12% 826.95 shares