Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $67.31
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Polymarket Trader
0xA3AAaf2991B9608b677C645A588820C0f41D073b-1778947401053
0xa3aaaf2991b9608b677c645a588820c0f41d073b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.39
- Realized PnL
- $15.63
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $25.25
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $23.77
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.8%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $46.3
- Potential profit
- $20.95
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $24.88
- Potential profit
- $14.69
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes 54% 46.3 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40.2% 24.88 shares
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No 51% 49.02 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 77.6% 12.89 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 22.4% 20.86 shares
- Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?No 49% 20.41 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?No 24% 20.86 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 79% 12.66 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 54.5% 146.78 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 54.5% 146.79 shares