Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
0xa3BFE9E345461A76ab31FF87CE2f5F3d257E1AAA-1780086546826
0xa3bfe9e345461a76ab31ff87ce2f5f3d257e1aaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.72
- Realized PnL
- $42.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $19.83
- Potential payout
- $113.71
- Potential profit
- $93.88
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $51.31
- Potential profit
- $44.9
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.59
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $32.02
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5% 16.57 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 17.5% 97.14 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 400 shares
- Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes 48% 4.17 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes 31.8% 47.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.4% 16.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 97.9% 52.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.7% 16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 53% 3.77 shares