Polymarket Trader

0xA3c2220E9cf6a63Abb735692333DC5d761403087-1777254684512

0xa3c2220e9cf6a63abb735692333dc5d761403087

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $99.14
Realized PnL: $90.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$40.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$37.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Current value: $22.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $77.85
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: -$7.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $23.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.35
Potential profit: $13.35
User PnL: -$13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.85

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 51.2% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?

No 99.3% 16.11 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?

Yes 98% 17.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10PM ET

Down 99.5% 14.07 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?

Yes 99.3% 20.14 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?

Yes 99.9% 27.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET

Up 99.8% 12.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET

Down 99% 13.13 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 96.1% 15.61 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

No 99.1% 15.14 shares