Polymarket Trader

0xA3c2EC158F222F3F4f5F4f57b113d761a4D3df3d-1774679893278

0xa3c2ec158f222f3f4f5f4f57b113d761a4d3df3d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $604.91
Realized PnL: $4.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $4.13K
User PnL: -$323

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $851.64
Potential profit: $851.64
User PnL: -$118.17

Rockets position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $694.93
Potential profit: $694.93
User PnL: -$117.28

No position

Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $584.99
Potential profit: $584.99
User PnL: -$13.92

Yes position

Will Jalen Duren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.99
Potential profit: $554.99
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $479.52
Potential profit: $479.52
User PnL: -$9.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $455.82
Potential profit: $455.82
User PnL: -$31.11

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.62
Potential profit: $316.62
User PnL: -$38.86

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.45
Potential profit: $284.45
User PnL: -$4.72

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $272
Potential profit: $170
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $268
User PnL: -$7.38

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $141.77
Potential payout: $264.99
Potential profit: $123.22
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.71
Potential profit: $213.71
User PnL: -$74.73

No position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $81.43
Potential payout: $211.51
Potential profit: $130.08
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$2.33

No position

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.31
Potential profit: $207.31
User PnL: -$22.29

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.59
Potential profit: $179.59
User PnL: -$16.64

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $21.67
Potential payout: $173.36
Potential profit: $151.69
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.68
Potential profit: $150.68
User PnL: -$59.06

Yes position

Will Ben Midgley win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$28.2

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $32.9
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $107.1
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $123.97
Potential payout: $136.98
Potential profit: $13.01
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.67
Potential profit: $136.67
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $101.17
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $32.83
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.54

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.4

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $265.31

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.16

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $246.22

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.36

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $213.97

Yes position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $193.19

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.77

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.03

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $156.79

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $153.26

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.52

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.04

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $136.48

76ers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.49

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.41

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.93

Yes position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.16

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.32

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.86

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.17

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.97

Yes position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Arda Güler: 1+ assists

No 92% 5 shares
Arda Güler: 1+ assists

No 80% 1 shares
Arda Güler: 1+ assists

No 84% 5 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5

Over 0.5% 5 shares
Arda Güler: 1+ assists

No 83% 6 shares
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 1+ goals

No 84% 11 shares
Arda Güler: 1+ goals

No 74% 5.2 shares
Arda Güler: 1+ goals

No 72% 13 shares
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 Paraguay?

No 95.9% 16 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Under 17% 123.5 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Corners

Under 38% 5 shares
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Under 52% 57.7 shares