Polymarket Trader

Lxxxxx

0xa3c64af237f6e12dd7a9ea95825f8dba30470547

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.01K
Realized PnL: $42.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $16.6K
Potential payout: $283.69K
Potential profit: $267.09K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$40.14K

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$7K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$4.02K

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $14.32K
Potential profit: $13.1K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.22K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.26K
Potential profit: $14.26K
User PnL: -$955.38

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07K
Potential profit: $11.07K
User PnL: -$2.93K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3.8K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.19K
Potential profit: $6.19K
User PnL: -$952.51

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.96K
Potential profit: $5.96K
User PnL: -$89.36

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41K
Potential profit: $3.41K
User PnL: -$919.91

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$473.27

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$1.43K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.25
Potential profit: $372.25
User PnL: -$18.61

Yes position

Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $323.4
Potential profit: $323.4
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.08
Potential profit: $279.08
User PnL: -$7.26

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $197
Potential payout: $197
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $25.61

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.69
Potential profit: $121.69
User PnL: -$21.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.77K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13K

No position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666.67

Silver position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.72

No position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83

No position

Will Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.98

Yes position

Will someone else be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.24

No position

Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.1

No position

Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

No position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.47

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.48

Yes position

ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

No Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Robertson position

Pinheiro vs. Robertson

Ends Nov 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

No position

Will Ron Paul be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 5% 54.38 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 6.7% 229.74 shares
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 7% 3,318.8 shares
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 26.5% 917.82 shares
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 73% 1,354.14 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Yes 18% 151.89 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 24% 10,098.82 shares
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes 0.8% 7.5 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 20% 151,273.43 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.6% 205.38 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 18% 237.58 shares
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

No 91.8% 1,012.18 shares