Polymarket Trader

0xa3d2...a44c

0xa3d27f5dc6ca82f9fa7dcf96fa0ef0c4b599a44c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $23.48
Realized PnL: $7.81
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Camera" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Drone" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.87K
Potential profit: $1.87K
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.63
Potential profit: $245.63
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.56
Potential profit: $245.56
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.84
Potential profit: $155.84
User PnL: -$3.74

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $22.33
Potential payout: $23.57
Potential profit: $1.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $10.44
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Trump" 5+ times on Thursday?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$1.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 23.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 99.4% 21.45 shares
Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Yes 1.1% 10.47 shares
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Trump" 5+ times on Thursday?

Yes 98% 7.37 shares
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?

No 2.7% 68.93 shares
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?

No 2.2% 86.91 shares
Will GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Yes 18% 10.47 shares
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?

Yes 18% 10.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 96.7% 15.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 72.5% 14.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

No 61.8% 15.47 shares
Will Trump say "Camera" this week?

No 0.1% 1,870 shares