No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $40.62
- Potential profit
- $39.59
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$5.79
Polymarket Trader
umqpzgxat
0xa3eb95189a41d6056b60cbd3c298057bbf1c1e56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.22
- Realized PnL
- $41.96
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $20.08
- Potential payout
- $38.26
- Potential profit
- $18.17
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $25.1
- Potential profit
- $24.25
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $24.82
- Potential profit
- $19.84
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $14.85
- Potential profit
- $12.56
- Multiplier
- 6.49x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during June 24 Rally?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.16
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.93
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.69
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Yes position
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.89
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.85
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.42
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.13
Over position
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 33% 14.85 shares
- Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 47% 10.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during June 24 Rally?No 47% 10.4 shares
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?No 19.5% 24.82 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 18.94 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 99.2% 34.27 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 43% 34.28 shares
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over 48% 41.02 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51% 19.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 20% 9.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 21% 9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETUp 36% 5.31 shares