Polymarket Trader

0xa3eD7d62F9841706250922b66Db601C16d63EB41-1770914803110

0xa3ed7d62f9841706250922b66db601c16d63eb41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.87
Realized PnL: $3.56
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.4
Potential profit: $61.4
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $6.8
Potential payout: $10.38
Potential profit: $3.58
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Yes 61% 10.38 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 69% 4.35 shares
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Yes 8.1% 61.4 shares
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

No 49% 6.12 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 5.56 shares
US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 75% 4 shares

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