Polymarket Trader

afy4uP4Hb8

0xa4239ea11d55180ad574fe852bde9009b1fa7936

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07
Realized PnL: $917.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.71
Potential profit: $367.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.15
Potential profit: $281.15
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.69
Potential profit: $251.69
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.93
Potential profit: $203.93
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $152.63
Potential profit: $151.56
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.28
Potential profit: $85.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.62
Potential profit: $80.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.38
Potential profit: $80.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.1
Potential profit: $69.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.76
Potential profit: $60.76
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.72
Potential profit: $52.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.52
Potential profit: $50.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $50.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.65
Potential profit: $45.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.27
Potential profit: $43.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.33
Potential profit: $37.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 27?

Yes 31% 32.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Yes 6.6% 152.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?

Yes 3.6% 281.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 31% 14.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 16?

Yes 35% 28.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares