Polymarket Trader

0xA42dcbD880F9b32aD8EA06eF78d3323295f12E9A-1748116078263

0xa42dcbd880f9b32ad8ea06ef78d3323295f12e9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.49K
Realized PnL: $77.69K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.84K
Potential profit: $142.84K
User PnL: -$4.53K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120K
Potential profit: $120K
User PnL: -$2.32K

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.14K
Potential profit: $96.14K
User PnL: -$4.09K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.17K
Potential profit: $60.17K
User PnL: -$4.81K

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.69K
Potential payout: $57.14K
Potential profit: $55.46K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$314.23

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $861.11
Potential payout: $55.56K
Potential profit: $54.69K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$138.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$8.25K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.72K
Potential profit: $9.72K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $969.8
Potential payout: $6.71K
Potential profit: $5.74K
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: -$30.19

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $971.2
Potential payout: $5.24K
Potential profit: $4.26K
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$28.79

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.24K
Potential profit: $3.24K
User PnL: -$512.47

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 8?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $574.61
Potential profit: $574.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 7?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.89
Potential profit: $509.89
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.31
Potential profit: $366.31
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.27
Potential profit: $346.27
User PnL: -$27.27

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win via Decision?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.54
Potential profit: $241.54
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.24
Potential profit: $81.24
User PnL: -$8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.71K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.19K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $793.41

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.04

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.74

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.62

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 6?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.75

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.02

No position

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $218.34

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.8

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.17

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$30.51

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$272.92

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$466.07

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$487.9

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$506.06

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$724.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.9% 6,711.41 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.1% 5,235.6 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 55,555.56 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 57,142.86 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 16% 16,420.65 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 11.6% 19,848.28 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 50.4% 19,848.27 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 60.9% 16,420.65 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 50.1% 69,362.62 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 53.1% 18,829.72 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 72% 13,387.64 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 74.7% 13,387.64 shares