Polymarket Trader

Kreosan

0xa43e62df799e00815f50e68dc31f3a8d7812ec90

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.71K
Realized PnL: $2.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $80.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $85.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.78
Potential profit: $448.78
User PnL: -$115.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$49.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$198

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$309.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.6
Potential profit: $371.6
User PnL: -$189.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $296
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $24
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $67.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$41.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$5.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $227.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.05

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 44.5% 180 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 40.8% 55.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 98% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 92% 10.02 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 80% 645.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 73% 118.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 58.8% 399.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 39% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 48% 11.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 53% 206.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 43.2% 297 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 43.7% 309.54 shares