Polymarket Trader

quantitativecredit

0xa44b5d28336bc8802ab308961f0938d18de1eb27

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.69K
Realized PnL: $4.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $598.95
Potential payout: $735
Potential profit: $136.05
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$5.22

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $426.24
Potential payout: $576
Potential profit: $149.76
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $40.32

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $490.46
Potential payout: $567
Potential profit: $76.55
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $36.86

No position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $97.01
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.74

Yes position

Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $11.13
Potential payout: $89
Potential profit: $77.88
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$44.95

No position

Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $46.3
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $9.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.8%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Southern Illinois Salukis position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.46

Virginia Tech Hokies position

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.16

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 6 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.6

Yes position

Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $309.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265

Yes position

Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $204.51

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.26

No position

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.66

Yes position

Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.15

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.25

Yes position

Will Jamshedpur FC win on 2026-03-06?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.16

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.96

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.52

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.21

No position

Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.94

Yes position

Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.44

Yes position

Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50.3%
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: $101.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.7

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.93

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.69

No position

Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.63

Yes position

Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.61

Yes position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 56% 811 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 85% 323 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 85% 11 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 83% 334 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

No 78% 110 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

No 78% 105 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 80% 136 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 85% 136 shares
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 65% 1,590 shares
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

No 80% 782 shares
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

No 72% 883 shares
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

No 33% 913 shares