Polymarket Trader

zidann

0xa44ddc4e4643f0bf78bcb54e3eefc02f8b3adf91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.19
Realized PnL: -$587.19
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $16.19
Potential payout: $201.18
Potential profit: $184.99
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$83.81

Yes position

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.6
Potential profit: $103.6
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.36
Potential profit: $93.36
User PnL: -$41.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.62

No position

Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.87

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.51

Yes position

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.27

No position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.21

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.02

No position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Yes position

Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

No position

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$91.4

Yes position

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$143.18

Yes position

Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$261.51

Yes position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$325.87

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$505.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

No 99.7% 27.33 shares
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 877.15 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 44% 93.36 shares
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Yes 37% 54 shares
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22.8% 877.15 shares
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?

Yes 57.9% 103.6 shares
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Yes 49.7% 201.18 shares
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Yes 97% 434.08 shares
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

Yes 72.9% 220.54 shares
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Yes 25.7% 486.56 shares
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Yes 68% 183.99 shares
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?

Yes 23.8% 258.08 shares