Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995.5
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
Chanceseeker
0xa456ef9f23d43a428a230cde9d50c828ebfcf689
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.42
- Realized PnL
- $85.92
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $296.7
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.25
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.7
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.23
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $46
- User PnL
- -$3.22
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $35.85
- Potential profit
- $31.49
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $31.45
- Potential profit
- $28.67
- Multiplier
- 11.30x
- User PnL
- $2.59
Yes position
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $22.69
- Potential profit
- $21.89
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $44.6
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $17.47
Yes position
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?Yes 4.2% 50 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 6.1% 100 shares
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.5% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 84% 6 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2% 142.91 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.2% 60 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.4% 1,500 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 6.1% 150 shares
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.6% 660 shares
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 6.1% 75 shares