Polymarket Trader

MarginMaster

0xa45f3da9cbe567f7f46aa84287c4490daa424f97

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $392.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.52
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $26.56
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $8.41

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $17.52
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $18.65
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $28.45
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $25.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $9.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $735.45
Potential payout: $745.14
Potential profit: $9.69
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $369.12
Potential payout: $369.3
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $10.89

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300.01
Potential profit: $298.66
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.72

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.38
Potential profit: $209.38
User PnL: -$98.41

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $193.2
User PnL: -$98.53

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.25
Potential profit: $124.25
User PnL: -$99.4

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.72
Potential profit: $114.72
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $81.56
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.76
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.36
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $12.85
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $87.16
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $11.18

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $99.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.38

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.9

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.59

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $6.04

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.8% 730.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 97% 334.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.5% 800 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.4% 508.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 98.8% 651 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 98.9% 1,300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.6% 1,300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 96.5% 579.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 98.6% 1,600 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.7% 1,453 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 98.6% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 73.3% 336.37 shares