Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $334.18
- Potential payout
- $571.24
- Potential profit
- $237.06
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$42.84
Polymarket Trader
0xA488E84e8B85A487b5Fbc40e98F84EB4F5457a0E-1770022282152
0xa488e84e8b85a487b5fbc40e98f84eb4f5457a0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $414.08
- Realized PnL
- $8.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185.82
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $24.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175.5
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $41.22
- Potential payout
- $45.6
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.98
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.8
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.54
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.59
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $65.81
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $43.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.2
No position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.98
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.69
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 7.1% 194 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 6.7% 6 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 200 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 71% 57.32 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 92% 45.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.4% 42.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.9% 42.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 21% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 23% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 16.21 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 570.2 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 429.8 shares