Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
0xa493...1b55
0xa493ef05d1e4722c0689547cef88f6e2ff821b55
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $62.69
- Realized PnL
- $3.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.09
- Potential profit
- $145.09
- User PnL
- -$11.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Current value
- $53.54
- Potential payout
- $89.39
- Potential profit
- $35.85
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $49.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $28.14
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $893.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 29% 9.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?No 78.5% 142 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 30% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 35.6% 49.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?Yes 8.4% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 2.1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 3% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 2.2% 107.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 3.5% 117.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 9.8% 35.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 17?Yes 26% 20.5 shares