Polymarket Trader

hku2090

0xa494e142877243d9eea1dcbc8123121009905e1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $973.73
Realized PnL: $2.41K
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $823.8
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $23.8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.3%
Current value: $106.19
Potential payout: $329.27
Potential profit: $223.08
Multiplier: 3.10x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.09
Potential profit: $326.09
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $22.79
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $120.07
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.75
Potential profit: $114.75
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.94
Potential profit: $111.94
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$50

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $20.96
Potential payout: $26.22
Potential profit: $5.26
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910.09

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.34

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.03

Over position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.55

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $18.82

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.58

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Another US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$9.38

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$522.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 39.3% 2,034.07 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 329.27 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.1% 26.22 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 43% 116.28 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 46% 108.7 shares
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76.1% 394.03 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 92% 326.09 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 83% 1,409.64 shares
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 13% 230.77 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 83% 274.7 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 97.5% 2,985.07 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 99% 212.12 shares