Polymarket Trader

4CV9H

0xa498fc6ad0f2d90f06e942d12de4bce968444f88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.08
Realized PnL: -$5.78
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $89.61
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $3.39
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $81
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $61.47
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $6.29

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$8.97

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

No position

USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $2.2
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$3.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 89% 62 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 88% 81 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 95.6% 93 shares
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 96.4% 22 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 65 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 85% 112 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 333 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 333 shares
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 92.9% 22 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 65 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 112 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.3% 444 shares