No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
jacknilson
0xa4aa3e7a93da1c206b1741af9ea675ec851edc18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.48
- Realized PnL
- $25.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $416.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $121.1
- Potential payout
- $129.73
- Potential profit
- $8.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.1
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Spurs position
Pistons vs. Spurs
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Bulls position
Kings vs. Bulls
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Vikings position
Packers vs. Vikings
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 11?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $285?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETUp 89% 1.11 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.4% 108.23 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 96.5% 20.73 shares
- Pistons vs. SpursSpurs 82.9% 12.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.3% 50.86 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?No 96.5% 10.36 shares
- Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?No 98.3% 20.35 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $285?Yes 99.5% 20.1 shares
- First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH 33% 30.3 shares