Polymarket Trader

felbax

0xa4bdb35fe4888823f01b5833585238250b1c9bdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.94K
Realized PnL: $1.32K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $918.32

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $421.94
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $3.8K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$578.06

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $271.91
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$728.09

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $405.99
Potential payout: $2.71K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$594.01

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $304.09
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$695.91

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $383.56
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$616.44

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $414.65
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$585.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $554.11
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$445.89

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $947.92
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$52.08

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $317.26
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$682.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.96

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$262.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 36.9% 2,706.61 shares
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Yes 61.5% 1,626.99 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 40.4% 2,474.59 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 48% 2,083.33 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 29.3% 2,514.64 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 85% 1,639.34 shares
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 42.2% 2,369.42 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Yes 39.5% 2,534.06 shares
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Yes 34.9% 2,862.19 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Yes 60% 1,666.67 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 61% 1,639.34 shares
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.1% 1,841.87 shares