No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $369.07K
- Potential payout
- $393.88K
- Potential profit
- $24.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.93K
Polymarket Trader
winforretire
0xa4c31771f294ee31146ff9cc5097186bdd25bbb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $539.98K
- Realized PnL
- -$159.33
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $155.86K
- Potential payout
- $182.3K
- Potential profit
- $26.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $463.58
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $8.73K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $66.01
- User PnL
- $295.96
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $6.32K
- Potential payout
- $6.98K
- Potential profit
- $663.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $318.04
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.36
- Potential profit
- $302.36
- User PnL
- -$34.94
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.05
- Potential profit
- $131.05
- User PnL
- -$24.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Chinese Taipei position
First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 74,577.91 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 1,098.9 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85.4% 35,136.24 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 35,294.12 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 19% 131.05 shares
- Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?Yes 11.6% 302.36 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 145.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 209.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 168.24 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 189.63 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 85% 102.35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 139.04 shares