Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $536.63
- Potential payout
- $10.13K
- Potential profit
- $9.59K
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Polymarket Trader
wmy-
0xa4c498ce6cc5ef8f52f394d7094da76e4c6bcfda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- $561.69
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $840.53
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $8.01K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$647.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.19
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $26.57
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.67
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$57.14
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$113.99
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$208.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 608.87 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 13% 714.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 1,753.31 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 233.47 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 2.2% 1,666.66 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15.7% 398.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1.7% 3,799.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 1,763 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,506.61 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,566.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,017.5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 7.8% 1,913.95 shares