Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $316.65
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $49.9
Polymarket Trader
0xA4C8e06a8aaAa459D22158640915761e091BB0ec-1770985522535
0xa4c8e06a8aaaa459d22158640915761e091bb0ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $345
- Realized PnL
- $41.3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.1
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$133
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $997.19
- Potential profit
- $997.19
- User PnL
- -$31.91
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $854.34
- Potential profit
- $854.34
- User PnL
- -$101.72
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $844.65
- Potential profit
- $844.65
- User PnL
- -$66.16
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $770.33
- Potential profit
- $770.33
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $589.47
- Potential profit
- $589.47
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $502.09
- Potential profit
- $500.83
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
NATO dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $14.82
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $342.32
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$10.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.91
- Potential profit
- $140.91
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $101.45
- Potential profit
- $93.08
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.31
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.36
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.17
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$65.1
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$521.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 1,780 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1.3% 10,102.79 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 3,836.21 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 6.4% 502.09 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.2% 3,033.8 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.1% 1,060.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 0.2% 3,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.6% 3,000 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.4% 802.42 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.9% 101.45 shares
- NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes 7% 357.14 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.4% 500 shares