Polymarket Trader

themmaguru

0xa4ce6bc630da3c0e57ffbc6a0d2540b2f97602b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $230.38
Realized PnL: $26.86K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.29K
User PnL: -$8K

Harry Hardwick position

UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.08K
Potential profit: $9.08K
User PnL: -$2.9K

Reinier de Ridder position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$2K

Elisha Ellison position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $230.38
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: $30.45

Junior Tafa position

UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$700

Lins position

MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22K

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66K

Green position

UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83K

Arnold Allen position

UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.93

No position

Will Binance be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.11

Yes position

Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$370.63

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Elisha Ellison 8.2% 2,450.83 shares
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Junior Tafa 28.6% 2,446.29 shares
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)

Arnold Allen 54% 925.93 shares
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins

Lins 11% 909.09 shares
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Israel Adesanya 56% 14,285.71 shares
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Harry Hardwick 30% 666.67 shares
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Harry Hardwick 30% 666.67 shares
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Harry Hardwick 30.5% 1,309.38 shares
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Harry Hardwick 31.6% 948.74 shares
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Harry Hardwick 33.5% 2,385.95 shares
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)

Harry Hardwick 32.2% 3,105.23 shares
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Charles Oliveira 35% 4,752.63 shares