Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.87
- Potential profit
- $76.87
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
kelishituofuzhangxiao
0xa4db1a34b23cf4a2441876e9e67f146fe55cd488
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15
- Realized PnL
- $9.92
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes 1.3% 76.87 shares
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.1% 239.76 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.2% 52.72 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 96.6% 24.46 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 2.2% 52.73 shares
- Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 98.9% 239.64 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 239.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 239.76 shares
- Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?No 12.6% 49.5 shares
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?No 98% 246.7 shares
- Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.9% 270 shares