Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$55
Polymarket Trader
Sinsin021
@SDokhtehchi
0xa4e0b1a154ba6702ae519a79044344b8eb396392
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $283.79
- Realized PnL
- $1.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $593.74
- Potential profit
- $593.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $511.34
- Potential profit
- $511.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $384.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.29
- Potential profit
- $214.29
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.34
- Potential profit
- $208.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.9%
- Current value
- $166.2
- Potential payout
- $208.01
- Potential profit
- $41.81
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $122.35
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.43
- Potential profit
- $145.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.18
- Potential profit
- $135.18
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.47
- Potential profit
- $126.47
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.17
- Potential profit
- $118.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $117.59
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $37.59
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.44
- Potential profit
- $114.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.33
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.33
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.46
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.53
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.46
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.11
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.17
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.53
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.98
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
Yes position
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.07
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 59.1% 84.61 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 17.9% 39.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 17?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?Yes 69.4% 21.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?Yes 28.5% 17.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 17?Yes 64% 23.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?Yes 30.1% 16.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?Yes 74% 54.05 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?Yes 41% 37.03 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 3% 62.4 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 44% 17.54 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 27% 17.92 shares