No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Polymarket Trader
0xA4EB4c78aF668F092786306c1f99883961AC52a3-1758547564317
0xa4eb4c78af668f092786306c1f99883961ac52a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$18.04
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp 71% 7.04 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.4% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 91% 5 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 63% 10 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 85% 5 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes 69% 10 shares
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 81% 17.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 80% 14 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 80% 12.6 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No 0.2% 60.55 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No 59% 60.56 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No 88.1% 30 shares