Polymarket Trader

koldj

0xa4f3f6fa1c8df8fce32434be253303a9622715da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.17
Realized PnL: $86.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.71
Potential profit: $59.71
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $28.07
Potential profit: $7.02
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $25.97
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.53
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.59
Potential payout: $20.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 96% 116.67 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?

No 95% 112.63 shares
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?

No 92.3% 20.59 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 97% 32.08 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.2% 30.55 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95.8% 23.63 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Yes 97.2% 15.78 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Yes 95% 15.79 shares
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Yes 96.3% 16.04 shares
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?

No 88% 26.14 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 72% 30.56 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 93.5% 32.09 shares