Polymarket Trader

mrmskv

0xa4f5832a78535c30072af77df6e23980679889f7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.2
Realized PnL: $3.21
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.32
Potential profit: $95.32
User PnL: -$5.8

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.55
Potential profit: $92.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.36
Potential profit: $91.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $62.33
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.89
Potential profit: $63.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.76
Potential profit: $61.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.33
Potential profit: $58.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.47
Potential payout: $56.25
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.37
Potential profit: $16.37
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $2.75
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $2.05
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 16% 56.25 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 58% 17.24 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 35.62 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 20 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 4.5% 108.69 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 4.6% 108.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 69.1% 1.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 57% 1.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Down 47% 2.91 shares