Polymarket Trader

tlgr

0xa4fd178b876ca49b6516600991a1ed48e75368e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.42
Realized PnL: $26.96
Win rate: 85.7%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.91
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $40.95
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $29.05
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $36.75

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.28
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur finish first in UCL league phase?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $34
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $28.31
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $19.5
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Liverpool finish first in UCL league phase?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.4

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $8.97
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Will Kimmel say "Kirk" during return show on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?

Ends Dec 13, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

Will UEFA ban or suspend Israel by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?

Ends Dec 13, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Julian Brandt sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 100 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.5% 70.17 shares
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.2% 76 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 Action of the Year?

No 97.2% 6.9 shares
Will George Russell win the 2026 Action of the Year?

No 96.4% 5.19 shares
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

No 95.2% 18 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 99.7% 10 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Yes 97.1% 10 shares
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

No 92% 10 shares
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

No 94% 8 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 30 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 91% 7 shares