Polymarket Trader

0xA50C5C5D7834E665deF9f85309DBf957D644f75D-1771592092775

0xa50c5c5d7834e665def9f85309dbf957d644f75d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.84K
Realized PnL: $6.23K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.83K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$78.85

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $178.13
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$121.88

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $91.72
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $775.88

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $59.38
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$40.63

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $676.5
Potential profit: $676.5
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $618.44
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$93.44

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $295
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $252.42
Potential profit: $249.39
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$46.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $709.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $666.22

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $365.21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.63

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.87

Yes position

Will Trump say "Witkoff" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.12

Movsar Evloev position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump say "Putin" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$400

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 38.7% 774.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 56% 892.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.6% 3,846.15 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 16% 1,875 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Yes 18% 1,111.11 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Yes 22% 909.09 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 62% 483.87 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 17% 1,176.47 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 22% 455.32 shares
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Movsar Evloev 70% 142.86 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 16% 625 shares